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The Ceasefire Deadline — Devil’s Advocate Framework
Featured
article8 min read

The Ceasefire Deadline — Devil’s Advocate Framework

Five converging variables in a 72-hour window. Here’s how to think through what this week could bring.

CorgilApril 16, 2026
Why America's 250th Birthday Could Bottom the Market
Video

Why America's 250th Birthday Could Bottom the Market

Bitcoin's 65.9k level is heavily defended across 20+ daily candles. If it holds through April chop, a July bottom aligns with the previous cycle's 23-week recovery arc—and July 4th makes for convenient macro theater.

BitcoinTechnical AnalysisMarket Analysis
CorgilApr 32 min
Two Things Killing Your Portfolio (Fix Them Now)
Video

Two Things Killing Your Portfolio (Fix Them Now)

Unfollow most accounts and drop the bias. The algorithm is programming you to chase noise, and marrying a conviction through a volatile market is the fastest way to hold bags.

Trading StrategyPsychologyRisk Management
CorgilApr 33 min
Less Than 1% of Polymarket Wallets Are Doing This
Video

Less Than 1% of Polymarket Wallets Are Doing This

Only 24,000 of 2.7M Polymarket wallets sponsor liquidity rewards. Combine sponsorships, LP farming, and careful limit orders to capture five-figure airdrops.

PolymarketTrading StrategyRisk Management
CorgilMar 283 min
The Two Lines That Could Change Your Trading Forever
Video

The Two Lines That Could Change Your Trading Forever

Two moving averages—the EMA 100 and 200—signal trend shifts and entry/exit zones across timeframes. Everything else is noise.

BitcoinTechnical AnalysisTrading Strategy
CorgilMar 133 min
This Bitcoin Move Could Catch Everyone Off Guard
Video

This Bitcoin Move Could Catch Everyone Off Guard

Bitcoin just reclaimed its 30-day rolling MA at 68.4. The next move is a squeeze to 72k and possibly 75–80k, a chop-and-reject back below support, or a brutal bear-trap squeeze that catches longs before rolling into fresh lows.

BitcoinEthereumTechnical Analysis
CorgilMar 42 min
Trading Is Easier Than Ever — So Why Aren't You Winning?
Video

Trading Is Easier Than Ever — So Why Aren't You Winning?

Trading has 100x fewer barriers than 30 years ago. Most people respond by either tunneling on one asset class or scattering effort across ten venues with pocket change. That's the real problem.

Trading StrategyMarket AnalysisBitcoin
CorgilFeb 252 min
Everyone Positioned for a Crash — What about You?
Video

Everyone Positioned for a Crash — What about You?

Tight ranges on equities and Bitcoin create binary setups: either a capitulation flush into value or a surprise squeeze that liquidates the consensus short. Nvidia earnings today could be the tell.

Market AnalysisTechnical AnalysisTrading Strategy
CorgilFeb 253 min
Bitcoin Rejected at 97.9K — Here's What Happens Next
Video

Bitcoin Rejected at 97.9K — Here's What Happens Next

Bitcoin rejected at 97.9K and dumped 6% in days. The next 48–72 hours will determine whether this squeezes higher or rolls back to the 86–87K support zone.

BitcoinTechnical AnalysisRisk Management
CorgilJan 192 min
There's Always a Bull Market Somewhere — Selectivity & Quality Over Hype
Video

There's Always a Bull Market Somewhere — Selectivity & Quality Over Hype

Retail is washed out, meme coins are dying, and crypto is underperforming. The real asymmetry is in farming Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Variational—plus equities that look better than any altcoin.

Technical AnalysisMarket AnalysisTrading Strategy
CorgilJan 133 min
Chopsolidation Before the Expansion — Don't Miss the Next Big Move
Video

Chopsolidation Before the Expansion — Don't Miss the Next Big Move

The 30- and 90-day EMAs are curving bearish on multiple timeframes. Corgil expects chop into early September, then a liquidation flush toward 103.9k—which becomes the golden buy zone for the next expansion.

BitcoinTechnical AnalysisMarket Analysis
CorgilAug 273 min
Is the Top In? (FOMC, Tariff Deadline, Jeetevana August)
Video

Is the Top In? (FOMC, Tariff Deadline, Jeetevana August)

After an extended July rally, Bitcoin is trapped between 117k–120k with a downtrend forming. Corgil sees a 60–70% chance of a sweep below 115.7k before the next leg higher.

BitcoinTechnical AnalysisTrading Strategy
CorgilJul 242 min
Joyful July, Jeetevana August, Mother of All Alt Seasons in Q4?
Video

Joyful July, Jeetevana August, Mother of All Alt Seasons in Q4?

We're in week four of a five-to-six-week uptrend. De-risk into late July, expect a flush in August, then position for Bitcoin 130k+ and alt explosions through year-end.

Market AnalysisTrading StrategyAltcoins
CorgilJul 172 min

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